Candidates for 03/31/2008

Here is the list of my candidates for today. I will not trade all of those but will start watching them for short-term reversals.

Date Sym L/S Close MA(200) Vol MA(100) Reason
20080328 GPS 19.52 19.00 10243124 1
20080328 NITE 15.98 14.63 2192549 1

1. 5 Consecutive down days.
2. Volume is 30% over the 10-day moving average.
3. Volume is 70% over the 30-day moving average.
4. Volume is 50% over the 50-day moving average.

Happy Trading!

Contemplating long TYC

Contemplating long action on TYC. It formed a nice base in early Feb, which is a trend qualifier and the ADX/DMI is indicating an uptrend getting stronger. In an ideal world, volume would pickup (it is right now too low to support the move, lower than the late January move) and the ADX would cross over 30. I had put a note to pick this one up over 42.50 on 3/6, it crossed 7 or 8 days later but I completely missed it and it of course printed a nice 7-8 bars of gains. It could still be an attractive long.

Candidates for 03/28/2008

Here is the list of my candidates for today. I will not trade all of those but will start watching them for short-term reversals.

Date Sym L/S Close MA(200) Vol MA(100) Reason

1. 5 Consecutive down days.
2. Volume is 30% over the 10-day moving average.
3. Volume is 70% over the 30-day moving average.
4. Volume is 50% over the 50-day moving average.

Happy Trading!

Candidates for 03/27/2008

Here is the list of my candidates for today. I will not trade all of those but will start watching them for short-term reversals.

Date Sym L/S Close MA(200) Vol MA(100) Reason
20080326 OMI 40.64 39.79 387128 1, 4

1. 5 Consecutive down days.
2. Volume is 30% over the 10-day moving average.
3. Volume is 70% over the 30-day moving average.
4. Volume is 50% over the 50-day moving average.

Happy Trading!

Candidates for 03/26/2008

Here is the list of my candidates for today. I will not trade all of those but will start watching them for short-term reversals.

Date Sym L/S Close MA(200) Vol MA(100) Reason

1. 5 Consecutive down days.
2. Volume is 30% over the 10-day moving average.
3. Volume is 70% over the 30-day moving average.
4. Volume is 50% over the 50-day moving average.

Happy Trading!

Post-market 3/25/08

An overall very low volume day. Feels like everyone took a breather and a back seat trying to see where this was going. A complete loss of momentum is not what you want in the middle of what people considered a recovery. As usual, main stream media was very quick at making the last three bars poster boys for bull markets but the reality is not this clear. I guess up and down sells news more than indecision.
Lets look at the daily chart to see where we are:

The DOW is sitting right at 12,530, barely passed the 50 days EMA. We had two strong and long candles but today, we traced a very short candle with low volume. We just barely broke to several key marks on my chart (EMA-50, downtrend line) and we are reaching for two more (EMA-200 and top b-band) but we will not make it with volumes like this. Nothing on the ADX/DMI indicates a trend yet so I still consider us sideways. When sideways I pay more attention to the oscillators and in this case, the Slow Stochastic is getting near overbought. Overall, I am losing a little faith in the current market.
Similar concerns on the SPX:

Dropping volume coming to the trendline and the 50 day EMA is nothing to build confidence in the market. Nothing on the ADX/DMI and Slow Stochastic also getting oversold. We are losing steam.
Lock in some profits on your swings and position trades and keep your stops tight.
Happy Trading!

Candidates for 03/25/2008

Here is the list of my candidates for today. I will not trade all of those but will start watching them for short-term reversals.

Date Sym L/S Close MA(200) Vol MA(100) Reason
20080324 ABX 41.94 40.36 10037988 1
20080324 AEM 66.17 51.53 2778797 1
20080324 AUY 15.7 13.49 11133154 1
20080324 BVN 64.96 52.62 740769 1
20080324 GDX 46.97 45.12 3537588 1
20080324 GOLD 43.81 34.33 815389 1
20080324 HMY 11.87 11.53 2862909 1
20080324 KGC 21.17 17.22 6661172 1
20080324 SLW 15.56 14.59 3750978 1

1. 5 Consecutive down days.
2. Volume is 30% over the 10-day moving average.
3. Volume is 70% over the 30-day moving average.
4. Volume is 50% over the 50-day moving average.

Happy Trading!

Candidates for 03/24/2008

Here is the list of my candidates for today. I will not trade all of those but will start watching them for short-term reversals.

Date Sym L/S Close MA(200) Vol MA(100) Reason
20080320 KMP 53.98 53.35 720653 1, 2

1. 5 Consecutive down days.
2. Volume is 30% over the 10-day moving average.
3. Volume is 70% over the 30-day moving average.
4. Volume is 50% over the 50-day moving average.

Happy Trading!

Candidates for 03/24/2008

Here is the list of my candidates for today. I will not trade all of those but will start watching them for short-term reversals.

Date Sym L/S Close MA(200) Vol MA(100) Reason
20080320 KMP 53.98 53.35 720653 1, 2

1. 5 Consecutive down days.
2. Volume is 30% over the 10-day moving average.
3. Volume is 70% over the 30-day moving average.
4. Volume is 50% over the 50-day moving average.

Happy Trading!